Reid Hoffman's AI Takeover Timeline

 

When Will AI Disrupt Your World?


If you’ve tapped into the impressive features of AI, you know there's an extremely disruptive force there. 

Changes. Lots of changes ahead. 

But there’s something you must remember. 

This is the worst version of AI you will ever experience.

It will only get better from here. 

Probably much better. 

And it will get better fast. 

The implications of AI rollouts are still only being comprehended by the business world. 

But a few Silicon Valley titans are well ahead of the curve.

One of those is Reid Hoffman. 

Hoffman was the founder of LinkedIn, went on to become a top Silicon Valley investor, and has launched a new AI venture. 

Here’s what he predicts for the timeline of the revolutionary power of AI.
 

The Human...Amplified


Hoffman recently sat down with Fortune magazine to discuss his AI project and where the power of AI is headed. 

Hoffman explains how A.I. will revolutionize large enterprises in the next five years.

But he doesn’t do it in that way that many tech-adjacent people tend to do. 

You know what I mean. 

Like when someone clearly doesn’t know much just says “AI will change everything,” or some variation like that. 

Do they really know anything?

Hoffman’s deep ties to AI development give him the ability to talk specifics. 

For example, he mentions: “human amplification—the coupling of human intelligence with technology—within the next five years.”

That’s a powerful idea. 

AI will make everyone more productive and better in most ways. 

But our focus is on the timeline. 

Hoffman said AI should have hit major organizations within the next five years. 

Five years seems about right. 

Especially based on a historical comparison we did the last time an obviously better technology arrived and how long it took to dominate a market. 

That was the case for Google. 

It had a great run to the top of the search engine market, but it took more than a decade. 

Here’s a breakdown of the search engine history and Google’s key market share milestones to see how long it took:
 

1998 (Q4) - Google passes AskJeeves with just under 5% of search engine market share

1999 (Q2) - Google surpasses AOL with market share of more than 7%

1999 (Q4) - Google hits 10% search engine market share and becomes #5 most popular search engine. Yahoo and AltaVista are #1 and #2, respectively.

2000 (Q1) - Google hits 12% market share and surpasses Lycos to #4 search engine

2000 (Q3) - Google hits 14% market share and passes AltaVista on the way to #3 search engine

2002 (Q1) - Google hits 20% market share

2002 (Q2) - Google passes MSN to become #2 search engine behind Yahoo.

2002 (Q4) - Google hits 23% market share and is now #1 search engine

2003 (Q1) - Google extends market share lead. One in four (25%) searches is now on Google

2004 (Q2) - One in three (33%) searches is now on Google

2005 (Q4) - Google hits 46% search engine market share, twice as high as Yahoo still hanging on to 23% search engine market share

2007 (Q1) - Half of all searches are now on Google. 

2008 (Q3) - Google search engine share reaches 60%


That’s a decade or so of Google’s rise. 

Five years for AI?

Definitely within reach. 

Get prepared now because if you can invest in this well, the potential fortune will come fast.
 

white and brown human robot illustration by Possessed Photography is licensed under unsplash.com

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